Oscar Prediction: Costume Design

okay, so i'm a day late on this one, but i've had a busy last 24 hours. so i'll predict two winners today, Achievement in Costume Design right now, and Acievement in Art Direction later tonight. Anyway, there are five nominees for Achievement in Costume Design:

• Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
• Memoirs of a Geisha
• Mrs. Henderson Presents
• Pride and Predjudice
• Walk the Line

Undoubtably, this award always comes down to being between two kinds of films--one where the costumes help convey the uniqueness of the setting (Charlie) and period pieces (everything else.) Since we have four period pieces splitting the vote, I predict that Charlie and the Chocolate Factory will win. the thing about Charlie is you can't do it without bold costume design. Willy Wonka doesn't work, the Oompa-Loompas don't work and even the children don't work. and unlike you period pieces, there really isn't much of a template to go off of, except for Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory, which i think Tim Burton made a serious effort to NOT emulate.

besides, Johnny Cash didn't have a constume designer with him when he went to Folsum Prison...